Bookmakers predict closest Tour de France finish since 2011
Spread-betting firm Sporting Index cannot split Chris Froome and Nairo Quintana as its favourites to reach Paris in yellow
Many informed observers have billed this year's Tour de France as the closest for some time - and it looks like the bookies agree.
Since Cadel Evans saw off Schleck brothers Andy and Frank four years ago by 1-34 and 2-30 respectively, the winning margins have been relatively comfortable - to the extent, of course, that 'comfortable' is ever a word that can be applied to a Tour de France victory.
From Bradley Wiggins seeing off Chris Froome by 3-21 in 2012 to Vincenzo Nibali finishing more than seven and a half minutes clear of Jean-Christophe Peraud last year, it is a little while since the Tour has felt like a close contest - at least according to the race clocks.
But spread-betting firm Sporting Index has 2013 top two Froome and Nairo Quintana, separated by 4-20 two years ago, fighting a much tighter battle this time round.
>>>Watch: Tour de France 2015 preview – the contenders (video)
The bookmaker has set the winning margin at 150 seconds (or 2-30 in old money), while 'buying' either man will return a profit on their 'General Classification Index' if they finish in the top two.
Among the other special bets available, it predicts that gruelling nature of the parcours will see the back of 37 of the 198 starters, with the final finisher rolling in four and a half hours behind the winner.
Get The Leadout Newsletter
The latest race content, interviews, features, reviews and expert buying guides, direct to your inbox!
That kind of gap has only been seen once since 2003, in last year's Tour. Then, six riders finished more than five hours back - and pity poor Cheng Ji, who lost more than six hours to Nibali - 164th and last on the Champs-Elysées, and 164th and last overall.
Cycling Weekly's experts discuss the Tour de France contenders
Thank you for reading 20 articles this month* Join now for unlimited access
Enjoy your first month for just £1 / $1 / €1
*Read 5 free articles per month without a subscription
Join now for unlimited access
Try first month for just £1 / $1 / €1
Stuart Clarke is a News Associates trained journalist who has worked for the likes of the British Olympic Associate, British Rowing and the England and Wales Cricket Board, and of course Cycling Weekly. His work at Cycling Weekly has focused upon professional racing, following the World Tour races and its characters.
-
‘There's no point to race for 50th place’: Peter Sagan explains why he’s a cycling esports ambassador but won’t compete
As a MyWhoosh ambassador, Sagan admires the sport’s evolution, but does he have the watts to compete with today’s virtual cycling stars?
By Christopher Schwenker Published
-
Rapha's loss, your gain: prices slashed sitewide amid profitability concerns
The British clothing brand unveils an almost unheard-of 25% discount across its entire product range
By Hannah Bussey Published
-
Tour de France 'hooliganism' must stop, says UCI president Brian Cookson
UCI president Brian Cookson urges roadside fans to behave themselves during cycling events, after incidents of riders being spat at and punched during Tour de France
By Nigel Wynn Published
-
Five riders who didn't live up to expectations at the Tour de France
Expectations are high for many riders at the Tour de France, but not all of them can succeed in meeting them. Here are five who weren't at the top of their game
By Stuart Clarke Published
-
Five words to describe each team's Tour de France performance
By Stuart Clarke Published
-
12 strange things from the 2015 Tour de France
It's a lot more than just bike racing
By Cycling Weekly Published
-
35 amazing photos of the 2015 Tour de France
We collect together some of the most striking images of the 2015 Tour de France by photographer Yuzuru Sunada
By Nigel Wynn Published
-
Five riders who made their name at the 2015 Tour de France
The usual suspects dominated the general classification at the Tour de France, but a number of riders sprung from nowhere to put in standout performances. Here are five that caught our eye:
By Stuart Clarke Published
-
Team Sky car hit and heckled by fans as it goes up Alpe d'Huez (video)
Team Sky and their riders copped a fair bit of flak over the course of the three weeks of the Tour de France, with things seemingly coming to a head on stage 20 as the riders raced up Alpe d'Huez.
By Stuart Clarke Published
-
Peter Sagan pulls out another Tour de France photobomb (video)
Having got in on an interview Vincenzo Nibali after stage five, Peter Sagan was back to his antics in Paris after stage 21 of the Tour de France
By Stuart Clarke Published