Giro d'Italia stage 18 LIVE: will the sprinters finally have their day again?

Check out the profile of today's stage. It begins at an altitude of 694m at Fiera di Primiero, gradually descending over the course of 178km to Padova – just south-west of Venice – where they finish at just 10m above sea level.

There's a cat-four blip at Lamon after 17.6km, and another more minor one at Guia, just after the sprint at 67.9km. But you get the impression that with a following wind the riders could almost let off the pedals there and freewheel all the way home.

It's a pretty late start today though – 13:10 European time (12:10 UK) – so we'll be back a little later to take you through all the goings on because, after all, they definitely won't be freewheeling to Padova.

Looks like Astana Qazaqstan rider Christian Scaroni won't be starting today's stage – he is ill with a fever, says the team. The 26-year-old must be gutted to have to pull out of his home Grand Tour so close to the finish in Rome.

He netted two top-fives this race – one on stage 12 to Fano, and a fourth place at Monte Pana on Tuesday.

Kaden Groves (Alpecin-Deceuninck) eyes today's sprint finish. "My condition's good," he says, "I've gone through [the mountains] quite well, and the team in general as well we're all healthy, so that's also a plus. To have eight riders here in the final week of the Giro is not easy. So yeah, we're all motivated for today."

Groves has had two second places but as yet no victories – equally, his Alpecin-Deceuninck team has yet to win a stage here.

Asked whether he felt the pressure, he said: "Of course, I mean, there's pressure every day we race but especially today, we're still chasing that stage win here at this Giro so of course we have pressure, but we're all looking to perform well."

The Aussie tipped Jonathan Milan again, saying: "To beat Milan it will take a strong rider, and someone to take the sprint in front of him."

172km to go: We're all underway now in what is foul weather for this 18th stage of the Giro d'Italia. Beginning on a long, meandering downhill, already the peloton is splitting.

169km to go: The spray is flying off the road surface. It's reminiscent of driving on a busy motorway on the wettest of days, surrounded by trucks. What a way to start.

Most of the riders are wearing some sort of wet weather protection.

162km to go: The race is already on the first (and only) classified climb of the day. A cat-four up to Lamon. Small group of four has nicked off the front. It's a handy little gap too.

161km to go: With around 0.3km to go till the top of the climb, the group looks established – helped by the fact the peloton has eased right back.

The four escapees are Mikkel Honoré (EF Education-EasyPost), Filippo Fiorelli (VF Group-Bardiani-Faizanè), and two of our old friends from Polti-Kometa – Andrea Piotrobon and Mirco Maestri.

160km to go: Maestri takes the mountains points over the top. 

Meanwhile, the gap is already 1.45. They're well away.

154km to go: Eurosport's Adam Blythe has learned via a conversation with sprinter Caleb Ewan, that most sprinters today are using 56 x 11 gearing, while Jonathan Milan will be riding a slightly bigger 54 x 10.

Expect Milan, however, to be pushing a higher cadence. 

153km to go: The race is descending once again, and the gap to the break has now gone out to 2.30. The peloton is unlikely to see the front four again until, ooh, about five kilometres to go.

148km to go: Looks like the break has ridden out of the rain and on to some dry and sunny roads. The peloton will be right behind them and will be more than relieved when they get there.

147km to go: The gap to the break is 2.25 now. They're being kept on a tight leash so far.

156km to go: Suddenly the peloton is looking more purposeful, with Juan Pedro Lopez (Lidl-Trek) currently lining it out. Already the gap to the break has shrunk to 1.42.

137km to go: The break is clearly in no mood to capitulate, riding hard in a line with the Polti duo forging onwards at the front.

131km to go: Jonathan Milan's Lidl-Trek team is massed at the front of a peloton that continues to be strung out. Roads looking pretty damp again but it's not chucking it down like before.

The break is hanging in there though – it still has 1.45.

122km to go: So far the race has averaged 43.8kph, putting it on track for a mid-time finish at 17:13 Euro time.

They're under the sun again, and the gap to the break has gone out a little to 1.55.

117km to go: The race has just begun an interesting little section of around 15km. It starts with a small climb, which the riders are on right now, then it's down the other side before climbing slowly towards the first of three sprints today, at around 110km to go.

Then it's over a decent little climb – not categorised – before the route flattens out entirely all the way to Padova.

110km to go: Polti's Pietrobon sails through the intermediate sprint first, unopposed by any his breakaway rivals. 1.13 behind, Jonathan Milan pings out of the bunch – equally unopposed – to sweep up fifth-place points.

106km to go: The sprint means Milan extends his lead in the ciclamino points jersey by another four points over second placed Kaden Groves. Milan is well out ahead on 288, while Groves is more than 100 points in arrears on 175.

105km to go: The riders are descending now through an amazing landscape of stepped vineyards, and while it's not exactly sunny, it is mercifully dry.

No one is relaxing though – the gap to the break is now just 56sec, with the peloton chasing hard behind.

Exactly why they're doing that with more than 100km to go and the break already on a short leash is anyone's guess.

101km to go: The break continues to forge onwards but the gap is closing continually. It's now 52 seconds.

95km to go: The gap, which had come down to 42 seconds, begins to stretch again as bunch eases up. Catching the break at this point would only make a rod for their own backs, as the attacks would begin all over again.

The ideal scenario is to make the catch close to the finish, at which point the high speed as the teams begin to set up for the sprint makes any more attacking nigh-on impossible.

That gap is already out to 1.18. That went out fast.

92km to go: Hello, Adam Becket here taking over while James grabs some lunch.

The peloton, led by Tudor, is 1:36 behind the break, which consists of Mikkel Honoré (EF Education-EasyPost), Filippo Fiorelli (VF Group-Bardiani-Faizanè), and Andrea Piotrobon and Mirco Maestri (both Polti-Kometa).

91km to go: I did a really flat day last week, which Jonathan Milan won. Will it be the same again today?

That day, there were crosswinds. Unlikely today.

85km to go: The break has 1:11 on the peloton at the moment. It is not going amazingly well for them.

81km to go: The four men are working well together, with 1:18 advantage.

79km to go: It's Lidl-Trek on the front of the peloton now. It's worth noting that because Tadej Pogčar has won five stages and Jonathan Milan three, there are loads of teams who have not won anything at this race so far. Nine teams have won, which means there are 13 with nothing.

74km to go: The break have 1:44 now, so it has extended a bit.

73km to go: Mirco Maestri (Polti-Kometa) is having a bit of a problem with his overshoes. That's about as exciting as it gets right now.

71km to go: The gap is under a minute now. The peloton didn't seem like it was pushing on too much, but this might be it really. Any hope for the break now has evaporated.

69km to go: Oh dear, I'm so sorry, I missed the Intergiro sprint. Fiorelli won it.

64km to go: The gap is at just 35 seconds now. There are wet roads at the finish, apparently, so that might make things a bit interesting. 

62km to go: Stefan De Bod (EF Education-EasyPost) attempted to attack off the front of the peloton there, which was shut down immediately.

59km to go: Edoardo Affini (Visma-Lease a Bike) has attacked off the front in an attempt to get free. Lidl-Trek and Soudal Quick-Step are trying to close this down. He has got a gap though.

58km to go: Affini has got the power to make things stick, and has finished second on two Giro stages before. Will this make a difference? The four up front are pushing on, but you can see the peloton behind.

57km to go: The peloton aren't taking this lightly. 22 seconds is the gap.

It's James Shrubsall back with you now for the rest of the stage. Thanks to Adam Becket for covering. It seems things have kicked off a bit while I was eating a sandwich...

53km to go: A real tug of war taking place between the peloton and what is now a five-man break, with Affini ensconced within. The gap is holding at around 25 seconds.

52km to go: Lopez nailing it on the front of the bunch, teeth bared, in the service of team-mate Milan. Tim Merlier's Soudal-Quick Step team is amassed behind Lopez. They're clearly pretty concerned about this break, which is now at 19 seconds.

45km to go: The break had a proper fight for the final intermediate sprint of the day at Martellago, with Fiorelli leading through and Pietrobon, who leads the separate Intermediate Sprints competition, coming second.

Fiorelli is fifth in the Intermediate Sprints and also leads the Intergiro competition. None of which is anything to do with the ciclamino jersey.

40km to go: The break is now just 8 seconds ahead. Can it survive this brush with the peloton?

37km to go: If the breakaway guys take a look over their shoulders, they will see the bunch very clearly down what is a long, straight and tree-lined avenue. The bunch is still lined out, but the gap has gone out a little to 11 seconds.

36km to go: The beautiful looking town of Mirano seems to have pretty much every single resident on the roadside cheering. There's a lot of pink about too. What an experience it must be to race through these places.

32km to go: The break is working so well together, the transitions are smooth and everyone seems to be taking their turn. Affini, who is obviously a bit fresher, is spending the most time on the front, but the five are clicking through the kilometres like a particularly well-oiled piece of purposeful machinery.

The gap is 17sec now.

24km to go: Lidl-Trek DS Michael Schär says from the team car that the team is keeping the break so close because they were a little concerned about how purposeful it looked – Schär mentions Honoré's skinsuit and says he looked like he was "on a mission".

22km to go: No doubt about it, the break is starting to look tired. The riding, and the changes, are a bit more ragged. Hardly surprising, as they've basically been time trialling for 150 kilometres – all with the stress of having the bunch breathing down their necks.

The gap is 10 seconds.

19km to go: The sprinters' team have got themselves into formation at the front of the bunch – four lines of riders in different strips. Lidl-Trek and Soudal Quick-Step of course; UAE and Ineos are there too, presumably ready to help out Molano and Narvaez respectively, but also looking after their leaders Pogačar and Thomas.

Right now they're toying with the break.

14km to go: A sudden narrowing on the road catches out Alessandro De Marchi (Jayco-AlUla), who comes off in what looks like a fairly innocuous fall. He's back on his back now, but doesn't look particularly happy with it.

10km to go: The break is finally caught. Pietrobon attempt to prolong it further by attacking but to no avail. The race is all together. Next stop Padova.

9km to go: The race negotiates a near-180-degree turn, thankfully intact.

6km to go: Not a relaxing run-in to Padova here. Lots of roundabouts and some dramatic reductions in road width that come suddenly. Everyone still upright so far.

Teams in full leadout flight now. Ineos Grenadiers and Alpecin currently leading the way.

4km to go: Milan being brought up from some way back to negotiate a pinch point.

3km to go: Riders under the 3km to go mark now. The GC guys can relax a touch.

2km to go: Teams constantly swapping places in full flight. You can almost feel the barging and hear the swearing from here. It's chaotic.

1km to go: That went quick. Sharp left here. Everyone through alright.

500m: Lidl-Trek on the front. Where's Milan?

Tim Merlier wins! 

At least four riders crossed the line abreast in what was a very close finish. Milan was second, half a wheel back. Groves was there too, a bike length back in the middle.

Alberto Dainese (Tudor Pro Cycling) is fourth.